As Germany Strains, Talk of Euro Breakup Increases

This is what happens when a socialist conglomerate runs out of other people’s money.
There’s a good possibility the European Union will go tits up.

Romano Prodi recalls how he persuaded Germany to allow debt-swamped Italy into the euro: support our membership and we’ll buy your milk, he said.

When Prodi toured Germany’s agricultural heartland after becoming Italian leader in 1996, he pitched “a big milk pipeline from Bavaria,” pointing to a three-year, 40 percent plunge in the Italian lira that was hurting dairy sales. “To have Italy outside the euro, a huge quantity of exports from Germany would have been endangered,” Prodi, now 70, said.

Germany got the message, allowing entry rules to be bent to create a 16-nation market for its exporters. Now, German taxpayers are footing the bill for that permissiveness as Europe bails out divergent economies lashed to a single currency with little control over national taxes and spending.

The consequences are an 860 billion-euro ($1 trillion) bill for a debt binge led by Greece, sagging confidence in the European Central Bank’s independence and mounting speculation that a currency designed to last forever might break apart.

“You have the great problem of a potential disintegration of the euro,” former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker, 82, said yesterday in London. “The essential element of discipline in economic policy and in fiscal policy that was hoped for” has “so far not been rewarded in some countries.”

German-led northern Europe, with its zeal for budget discipline, is attempting to fix the mistakes made by the euro’s founding fathers in the 1990s. It is squaring off against the governments of the south over who will control the euro and the ECB; whether the currency will be used to promote growth or squelch inflation, and ultimately, whether some countries should be disbarred from the monetary union.

European Club

What was conceived as a club for Europe’s strongest economies was expanded for political reasons, leaving the currency union with minimal powers to police deficit spending and no safety net for dealing with countries, like Greece, that veer toward default.

“There was no discussion of that at all, of a crisis mechanism,” said Niels Thygesen, a retired Copenhagen University economics professor who served on the 1989 group led by European Commission President Jacques Delors that mapped out the path to the euro. “It was believed that if countries adhered more or less to prudent budgetary policies, that would not or could not happen.”

Kohl’s Role

Former German Chancellor Helmut Kohl, seeing the euro as the capstone of Europe’s economic integration and Germany’s return to the European family after two world wars, opened the door to the deficit-prone southern European countries that the Bundesbank, haunted by the memory of hyper-inflation, wanted to keep out.

Returning from the December 1991 summit in Maastricht, the Netherlands, that kicked off the euro project, Kohl told the German parliament that he wanted “the greatest possible number of countries” in the euro. That gave Italy, Spain and Portugal the encouragement to meet the economic targets to join in 1999 and Greece to follow two years later.

Defenders of the German economic model knew the threat posed by countries such as Italy, whose budget deficit was 10.2 percent of gross domestic product in 1991, when they forced European leaders to set 3 percent as the limit for euro members.

“A well-known German financial leader told me: Fortunately for Germany, Austria is between Italy and Germany,” said Alfons Verplaetse, who oversaw the Belgian central bank from 1989 to 1999. The reckoning was that only Germany and its immediate neighbors would pass the economic tests, limiting the euro to a handful of countries, Verplaetse, 80, said.

Germany is none too happy:

The EU and the Eurozone want to spend a massive €750bn to save the European currency. Germany alone will have to fork out €123bn for its bankrupt neighbours.
But there is now not enough money for the planned tax cuts!

Are we really the schmucks of Europe?

Chancellor Angela Merkel said: “We are protecting the money of people in Germany.”


The vast credit line has been made available by the EU Commission, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Euro states to failing countries including Spain and Portugal. It allows them to borrow money if they cannot do so on the financial markets.

And the lion’s share of that cash – up to €123 billion – is coming from Germany. If it is not paid back, the taxpayer will be left out of pocket.

Just like with the Greek bailout!

In plain language: If more Euro states are forced to their knees under the weight of their debts, the countries which have not lived beyond their means for the last ten years will step in to help out. And above all that means Germany. Moderate wage agreements, moderate pensions schemes – but if needs be then we have to pay the bill.

Forming an entity like the European Union held together with one currency, was a very bad idea to begin with.
Aside from the political and fiscal management differences, it created an interdependence with very few shouldering the responsibility should the system collapse. Sound familiar? The United States is on the hook to the IMF for 17%. Which means the American taxpayer foots the bill—17 cents on the dollar—for any amount of money the IMF doles out. Obama and his motley crew of Marxist morons are in the process of destroying our infrastructure. We won’t be able to save ourselves, let alone Europe.

America is currently saddled with a socialist who wants to ‘fundamentally transform’ our Democratic Republic into a Euro clone. Do you Obama voters still think that was such a good idea?

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